Dogecoin Futures Market Suggests Trouble for Long-Term DOGE Holders

The Dogecoin price has managed to keep investors’ attention on its amid larger bearish blues. As the DOGE price starts to continue on a downward trend, assessing its fall becomes crucial.

Dogecoin charted an incredible run during the month of October, gaining over 140% to reach a multimonth high of $0.158. However, DOGE is now down nearly 40% from that local high.

Dogecoin Futures Market Turns Red

Around $3.7 million worth of DOGE long liquidations took place in the last 24 hours, showing that bears currently have the upper hand.

Dogecoin liquidations | Source: Coinalyze

The futures market presented an overall bearish tone. Open interest fell by 7.80% to $367 million at press time. In addition to that, the funding rate on Binance turned negative.

DOGE is now trading at $0.0964, down 3.3% in the past 24 hours and 10.1% in the past week.

The Dogecoin 1-day and 7-day MVRV metrics suggest that short-term DOGE holders have started to realize losses.

Dogecoin MVRV | Source: Santiment

With short-term holders at a loss, selling pressure could begin to pile on and pull the price down further.

DOGE Retail Traders Lead the Way

Daily active addresses for DOGE have been climbing. This could be mostly attributed to market participants selling. However, Dogecoin’s velocity (how fast the price moves) recently fell to local lows.

DOGE velocity and daily active addresses | Source: Santiment

A chart of Dogecoin balances by time held highlighted that ‘trader’ balances (less than one month) had increased by 53.94% while ‘cruiser’ holdings (between one month and one year) saw a 10.97% drop.

Dogecoin balance by time held | Source: IntoTheBlock

Traders increasing their balances suggests that the DOGE market is likely to largely be retail-driven in the coming days. For DOGE, the In/Out of Money Around Price Indicator from IntoTheBlock showed the next support at the $0.086 mark, where 757,630 addresses hold 8.88 billion DOGE.

DOGE In/Out of Money Around Price | Source: IntoTheBlock

A fall below the $0.086 level could spell trouble for DOGE holders and further liquidations could lead to a bearish close for the DOGE price in December.

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